EU’s Multiannual Financial Framework Post-2020: Brexit Implications, with a Focus on Poland

Elżbieta Kawecka-Wyrzykowska

Abstract


The aim of the paper is to critically analyse the main elements proposed in the EU’s Multiannual Financial Framework (MFF) for 2021–2027 presented by the European Commission in May 2018 and the ways to solve the problem of the Brexit gap. The assessment of the effects of budgetary changes is focused on Poland. In order to achieve the research goals, we conduct a critical analysis of EU documents and a review of the literature.
Britain’s exit from the EU may speed up the reform of EU budget revenue. The Brexit gap is so large that EU Member States, despite a general dislike of taxes at the EU level, may accept some of the EU proposals in order to bridge that gap. An increase in GNI-based contributions to the EU budget is also a very possible scenario. On the expenditure side of the budget, the new MFF provides for cuts in spending on agricultural and cohesion policies. As a very large beneficiary of such support at present, Poland will lose relatively the most. The compromise on funding the Brexit gap will significantly affect the EU’s ability to finance its priority expenditure after 2021 and thus the possibility to cope with present and future integration challenges.


Keywords


Multiannual Financial Framework, Brexit, EU budget

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References


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DOI: https://doi.org/10.15678/AOC.2019.2106