Study on the Effectiveness of Investments in Gold Using a Method TRB
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15678/ZNUEK.2014.0930.0605Keywords:
gold, financial investments, technical analysis, Student’s t-testAbstract
Buying gold is considered a relatively sure capital investment, because the purchasing power of this metal generally does not decrease over time. The question is whether and to what extent investment in gold can be profitable in the short term. This paper seeks to answer that question. In so doing, it investigates whether technical trading rules are effective in researching gold prices and whether it is possible to achieve above average profits in a short time horizon. The research takes into consideration Trading Range Break (TRB) rules. The results will allow the distributions of conditional return on an investment in gold to be identified. The effectiveness of investments in gold were analysed by the following means: using the t-Student and out-of-sample tests and comparing TRB with „buy and hold” method.
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